Who Should be the Next UN Leader?


View of the empty UN Basic Meeting corridor from its essential aisle. Credit score: UN Picture
  • Opinion by Felix Dodds, Chris Spence (apex, north carolina / dublin, eire)
  • Inter Press Service
  • With present UN Secretary-Basic António Guterres set to step down in 2026, who’s within the working to interchange him? On this seven-part collection, Felix Dodds and Chris Spence reveal who may be within the working and assess their possibilities.

These are names which have come up in conversations with UN insiders and different consultants. All six would provide expertise and experiences we consider can be priceless in these fast-paced, unsure occasions.

With two years to go till the choice course of takes place, some would possibly really feel it’s too early to start out this dialog. We disagree. By elevating the query of António Guterres’ successor sooner somewhat than later, we hope to position on document the qualities we consider are wanted. Listed here are the important thing expertise and attributes we hope the following Secretary-Basic will convey.

A Bridge Builder

First, we consider the UN will want somebody who can bridge a fragmented and polarized worldwide panorama. Political divides have develop into all too evident, not simply within the tragedies enjoying out in Ukraine, Gaza, Syria and elsewhere, however within the wider geopolitical sense.

A multipolar world is rising from the earlier world order. Add to this the expansion of political populism, the triple planetary menace of local weather change, biodiversity loss, and air pollution, and fast technological change—together with AI—and we’re no doubt in unprecedented occasions.

A future Secretary-Basic might want to discover methods to convey the fractured worldwide group again to the desk in a significant method. On this respect, one of many first checks for any potential candidate can even be one of many hardest: persuading all 5 everlasting members of the UN Safety Council to not veto their candidacy whereas on the similar time presenting a compelling imaginative and prescient that the Basic Meeting will discover inspiring sufficient to help.

In truth, some are already questioning how the “Huge 5” nations on the UN Safety Council will discover frequent floor on whom to appoint as their subsequent UN chief when tensions stay so excessive between Russia and China on the one hand, and the US, UK and France on the opposite?

One query the Safety Council might want to resolve in 2026 is whether or not it desires extra of a “Secretary” than a “Basic”? Our sense is that they might want the previous—that’s, somebody who’s extra pliable and fewer strident of their method.

Nonetheless, we consider a pacesetter who can transfer seamlessly between the 2 roles—letting others lead when wanted however stepping up when the time is correct—would finally be higher for the world at massive.

On this respect, we could get extra readability on the views of UN member states within the months to return. This 12 months, 64 nations and the European Union are holding elections. This implies round 50% of the world’s inhabitants is heading to the poll bins.

By the top of 2024, with many new leaders elected—or outdated leaders re-elected—we can have a greater concept of how troublesome it’s going to be to construct consensus and belief, each throughout the Safety Council and within the Basic Meeting.

Breaking the Glass Ceiling

When António Guterres was appointed Secretary-Basic, many commentators voiced disappointment that the glass ceiling had nonetheless not been damaged and a primary feminine UN chief had not emerged. We agree. In 2026, the UN will likely be greater than 80 years’ outdated. It’s excessive time a lady was working the group.

If our earlier posts present something in any respect, it’s that there’s an abundance of expertise ready to unleashed. If the UN is ever to totally ship on its imaginative and prescient as a power for world good, it must prepared the ground and shatter its personal glass ceiling.

A Chief from the South

As we have now already famous, some insiders anticipate the UN to revert to a rotation system the place totally different areas every have a “flip” at holding the Secretary-Generalship. This technique was interrupted final time round, when a Portuguese nationwide was appointed when most anticipated an Japanese European.

This time, some are saying it’s Latin America and the Caribbean’s flip. Whereas we’d welcome this, we don’t assume this ought to be an absolute rule. As an alternative, we want to see the strongest candidate appointed from the widest attainable pool.

What we do consider, although, is {that a} chief from the International South can be applicable this time round. With three-quarters of the world’s inhabitants dwelling within the South and the final two UN leaders coming from the International North (Portugal and South Korea), we consider the time is ripe for this transformation. With six billion individuals to select from within the growing world, there’s a wealth of expertise to select from.

Different Attainable Candidates

Whereas our posts have profiled six candidates we consider might do the job effectively, there are prone to be many different names come up within the dialog over the following two years. Under are shorter profiles on a couple of we have now already come throughout.

Kristalina Georgieva (Bulgaria): An economist and present head of the Worldwide Financial Fund, Georgieva has additionally served as Chief Government on the World Financial institution and Vice-President of the European Fee. Those that consider the following Secretary-Basic ought to come from Japanese Europe would level to her repute as a extremely competent and efficient administrator on the highest worldwide degree.

Jacinda Ardern (New Zealand): One of many world’s youngest heads of presidency when she was elected Prime Minister, Ardern served from 2017 to 2023. Her authorities was noteworthy for its dealing with of the Covid-19 pandemic, which contained the virus extra efficiently than many different nations, with the end result that comparatively few lives had been misplaced.

Ardern was additionally praised for her response to a terrorist assault early on in her tenure, which led to fast reform of her nation’s gun legal guidelines. Recognized for her give attention to governing with compassion and with a give attention to human wellbeing, Ardern left workplace in 2023.

Since then, she has taken on a number of initiatives with a world dimension, together with fellowships on the Harvard Kennedy Faculty and Heart for Public Management.

Juan Manuel Santos (Colombia): The previous Colombian President and Nobel Peace Prize winner labored onerous to finish his nation’s ongoing civil battle. His “peace dividend” could attraction to these in search of a pacesetter with a powerful monitor document on peace and reconciliation. Nonetheless, he wouldn’t be considered as a change agent for these looking for to interrupt the glass ceiling on girls’s management (see above).

Achim Steiner (Brazil/Germany): The present head of UNDP can boast a protracted monitor document within the UN, the German authorities, non-profits and academia, though latest allegations of economic irregularities at UNDP could must be resolved to ensure that his candidacy to achieve traction.

Rafael Grossi (Argentina): The Director Basic of the Worldwide Atomic Power Company and former Argentine diplomat has impressed many, though some surprise if his give attention to nuclear points and disarmament, which dates again greater than twenty years, could also be too slender in scope given the broad calls for of the UN Secretary-Basic’s position?

Prof. Felix Dodds and Chris Spence have participated in United Nations conferences and negotiations for the reason that Nineties. They co-edited Heroes of Environmental Diplomacy: Profiles in Courage (Routledge, 2022), which examines the roles of people in inspiring change.

Earlier components:

https://www.ipsnews.net/2024/04/next-un-leaderpart-1/
https://www.ipsnews.net/2024/04/next-un-leaderpart-2/
https://www.ipsnews.net/2024/04/next-un-leaderpart-3/
https://www.ipsnews.net/2024/04/next-un-leaderpart-4/
https://www.ipsnews.net/2024/04/lead-united-nationspart-5/
https://www.ipsnews.net/2024/04/next-un-leaderpart-6/

IPS UN Bureau

© Inter Press Service (2024) — All Rights ReservedOriginal source: Inter Press Service



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